TCU vs. Baylor Prediction, Game Preview

    TCU at Baylor prediction and game preview. Projecting who wins the game between the Horned Frogs and Bears.

    November 1, 2016

    TCU at Baylor prediction and game preview. Projecting who wins the game between the Horned Frogs and Bears.

    TCU at Baylor Game Preview

    When: Saturday, November 5 – 3:30 p.m. ET
    Where: McLane Stadium, Waco, TX
    Broadcast: Fox

    The loser of this matchup in Waco is going to end Week 10 with a serious hangover. The Horned Frogs and Bears are sputtering, though at distinctly different levels. Baylor is looking to dust itself off and get its head right after losing for the first time on a Texas field goal with 46 seconds left. The Bears will need to have a short memory, because the Big 12 title is still there for the taking for whichever team catches fire in November. TCU is in far worse shape. The Frogs, a trendy preseason pick to contend for league supremacy, have been a major disappointment this fall. They’re 1-3 over the last month, with the lone victory being a one-pointer over 1-7 Kansas.

    What To Know About TCU

    Gary Patterson’s defense played better last week, getting 19 tackles from linebacker Travin Howard and an inspired effort off the bench from defensive end Mat Boesen. But it mattered not, because the offense in Fort Worth continues to regress. Patterson pulled starting quarterback Kenny Hill in favor of sophomore Foster Sawyer, and it remains unknown who’ll start this week. TCU would benefit if shifty wideout KaVontae Turpin can finally return from injury, though the focus ought to be on Kyle Hicks and a deep stable of backs that’s the safest bet on offense these days.

    What to Know About Baylor

    Who are you, Bears? The team that opened 6-0 or the one that was steamrolled by Texas running back D’Onta Foreman and labored to finish drives in the end zone? If it’s the latter, Baylor could have problems Saturday, especially since TCU averages almost five yards per carry. There’s also the issue of the inefficiency of an offense that has no shortage of playmakers, like backs Shock Linwood and Terence Williams and wideout KD Cannon. However, despite amassing 624 yards last week, the Bears were still outscored by Texas. Jim Grobe needs better play out of his quarterback, Seth Russell, especially when he’s not scrambling.


    Offense: Baylor. No, not the same as when Art Briles was in charge, but still potent and difficult to contain.

    Defense: TCU. While it’s close, the Bears were exposed a week ago, and the Horned Frogs are one of the best pass rushing teams in the country.

    Special Teams: Push. Consistency has eluded both teams, especially in the kicking game.

    Coaching: TCU. While the perception of Patterson has diminished a bit these past two years, he and his assistants are superior to a Baylor staff reshuffled in the offseason.

    Intangibles: Baylor. TCU hits the road as its season continues circling the drain. The Bears, meanwhile, still have a ton to play for in November.

    Matchup To Watch

    The Baylor O-line vs. the TCU D-line

    Kudos to the Bears, as they’ve done a really nice job of regrouping up front around so many new blockers in the rotation. This Saturday, though, they face their toughest test of the season so far. The Horned Frogs are tied for second nationally behind Alabama with 31 sacks, and Boesen, Josh Carraway, Aaron Curry and James McFarland are all capable of popping Russell.

    TCU at Baylor Betting Odds

    Spread: Baylor -9
    Over/Under: No line as of post

    TCU at Baylor Prediction

    Okay, so Baylor was living a lie at No. 8 nationally, but the team will be ready to rebound in Week 10. The Bears are better than they played last week in Austin, and a visit from sinking TCU affords them a good chance to prove it. The Horned Frogs are playing without balance and confidence on offense, including at the most important position in the huddle. And that lack of cohesion with the ball will prevent the team from rallying once Williams, Linwood and Cannon stake Baylor to a lead.

    TCU at Baylor Score Prediction: Baylor 37, TCU 24

    MORE: No. 1-128 College Football Rankings – Week 10


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