No. 7 St. Mary’s vs. No. 10 VCU Prediction, Game Preview

    St. Mary's vs. VCU prediction and game preview, as the No. 7 Gaels and No. 10 Rams face off in the NCAA Tournament.

    March 13, 2017

    St. Mary’s vs. VCU prediction and game preview, as the No. 7 Gaels and No. 10 Rams face off in the NCAA Tournament.


    Randy Bennett has been an institution for St. Mary’s, as he is enjoying his 16th year as the head coach of the Gaels. This is the first NCAA appearance in awhile, as the Gaels had to settle for the NIT the last few years. Meanwhile, Will Wade and the Rams are in the Big Dance for the second straight year under his leadership. VCU has the depth to play its in-your-face brand of basketball, which is why the Rams have become a consistent NCAA team.

    St. Mary’s vs. VCU Game Preview

    Date: March 16
    Venue:  Vivint Smart Home Arena, Salt Lake City, Utah
    Region: West

    St. Mary’s Strengths

    Saint Mary’s has one of the best players on the West Coast in Jock Landale. Though he doesn’t get a lot of recognition, he has the potential to lead the Gaels to a deep run in the Big Dance and burst onto the national scene. St. Mary’s is a great passing team that uses impressive ball movement to create open looks.

    St. Mary’s Weaknesses

    The Gaels only have two wins against RPI Top 50 teams (Nevada and Dayton). Their lack of competition in both the conference and non-conference slate won’t do them any favors in the Tournament.

    St. Mary’s Gaels In-Depth Analysis

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    VCU Strengths

    Consider the following: VCU suited nine players who played in 30+ games and averaged double-digit minutes. This is a deep, deep team. If freshman De’Riante Jenkins can heal up enough for the NCAA Tournament that’ll make them even deeper. Fielding one of the nation’s best scoring margins (8.6), the Rams have a lockdown defense that bleeds opponents dry. VCU is a scrappy club that forced just over 15 turnovers per game in the regular season, meaning the Rams could feast on an inexperienced club that tightens under the pressure of March Madness.

    VCU Weaknesses

    They’re on the right side of the rebound margin (+2.3), but the Rams can still get pushed around on the blocks, especially on offensive boards. With 4/1 blocks per game, the Rams can cause a little havoc down low. However, this is a team that could get punished by a strong frontcourt.

    VCU Rans In-Depth Analysis

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    St. Mary’s vs. VCU By The Numbers

    St. Mary’s Statistics

    Scoring Margin: 16.6 (4th nationally)
    Rebounding Margin: 9.7 (3)
    Turnover Margin: -1.0 (246)
    3-Point FG Percentage: 39.9% (17)

    VCU Statistics

    Scoring Margin: – 8.6 (44)
    Rebounding Margin: – 2.3 (111)
    Turnover Margin: 2.3 (42)
    3-Point FG Percentage: 33.1% (268)

    St. Mary’s vs. VCU Prediction

    The Gaels didn’t face the best competition in the West Coast Conference, but that doesn’t mean that this isn’t a solid team. The problem is that the Gaels will be going up against a deep Rams squad that loves to play defense. That ‘D’ is the difference in this one.

    St. Mary’s vs. VCU Score Prediction: VCU 66, St. Mary’s 58

    MORE: Complete NCAA Tournament Bracket, Previews, Predictions

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