Oregon vs. USC Prediction, Game Preview

    Oregon vs. USC prediction and game preview. The Ducks look to bounce back from a tough loss by snapping the Trojans' five-game winning streak Saturday night in Los Angeles.

    February 10, 2017

    Oregon vs. USC prediction and game preview. The Ducks look to bounce back from a tough loss by snapping the Trojans’ five-game winning streak Saturday night in Los Angeles.

    Oregon vs. USC Game Preview

    When: Saturday, Feb. 11 – 10:30 p.m. ET
    Where: Galen Center, Los Angeles.
    TV Broadcast: Pac-12 Network

    Oregon looked to be well on its way to a second straight dominating victory over another top-tier Pac-12 team Thursday night. After crushing Arizona, 85-58, with 16 3-pointers last Saturday, the Ducks went into UCLA and held a 19-point second-half lead. Then the shots stopped falling, the defense was on its heels and the Ducks blew that advantage and then some, falling 82-79.

    That’s not the way Oregon wanted to head into the second part of their trip to Los Angeles. It now runs into a USC team that has won five in a row and seeking revenge for the Ducks ending its previous winning streak. The Trojans started 14-0 before heading to Oregon on Dec. 30 and getting dealt an 84-61 defeat.

    USC went through a bit of a rough patch following that loss but is coming off a 92-66 thumping of Oregon State on Thursday. During a 2-4 stretch beginning with the Oregon game, the Trojans shot just 39.4 percent from the field and averaged 67.8 points. But during their winning streak, they’re hitting 48.8 percent of their shots and averaging 85.2 points.

    Bennie Boatwright was injured for the first meeting with Oregon but has been back for the last three games, giving USC a major boost. He’s averaging 17.3 points in those contests and will be a load for Oregon to handle in the paint.

    Louisville transfer Shaqquan Aaron has come off the bench in all games but one since starting through the first meeting with Oregon, but he finished with 21 points and hit 5-of-6 from beyond the arc against the Beavers.

    Oregon Wins If …

    … it wins the paint. With Chimezie Metu at 6-foot-11 and Boatwright at 6-foot-10 down low, they give USC a solid interior presence capable of playing with anyone in the country. The Ducks limited Metu to four points and 1-of-12 shooting in the first meeting when Boatwright was out and came away with a 23-point victory. But he’s scored in double figures in nine of the 10 games since, including three 20-point efforts. Boatwright being back might cause an issue for Oregon this time around.

    USC Wins If …

    … it complements its inside play with solid production from its guards. Aaron broke out in a big way the other night, and fellow guard Elijah Stewart put up 14 points. But Jordan McLaughlin has scored only 10 points while shooting 2 of 9 over his last two games combined. The Trojans will have a much better shot of pulling out a victory if McLaughlin busts out of his slump.

    Matchup To Watch

    Dillon Brooks vs. Whoever is dares to guard him

    Brooks lit up the Trojans for 28 points in the first meeting. He presents a matchup problem for USC, which might have to rotate bodies around to contain him.

    Betting Odds

    Spread: No line as of post
    Over/Under: No line as of post

    Oregon vs. USC Prediction

    USC is at home and on a roll, plus it has Boatwright back. But Oregon is going to be hungry after losing that big lead down the road Thursday. Brooks goes for 25 and the Ducks get a close win.

    Oregon vs. USC final score prediction: Oregon 84, USC 80

    MORE: Projecting NCAA Tournament Committee’s Top 16 Seeds


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