Navy vs. SMU Prediction, Game Preview

    Navy vs. SMU prediction and game preview. The Midshipmen look to run their record to 8-1 as they host the Mustangs.

    November 10, 2015


    Fresh off their first win over an AP top 15 team since 1984, the Navy Midshipmen (7-1) return to action with this week’s visit from the SMU Mustangs (1-8). Check out the Navy vs. SMU prediction and game preview.

    Navy vs. SMU Game Preview

    Broadcast

    Date: Saturday, November 14
    Game Time: 3:30 ET
    Venue: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, Annapolis, Maryland
    Network: CBS Sports Network

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    Why You Need To Care

    Make room for Navy, the latest American program to make a national splash this season. The Midshipmen, overlooked for much of the year, stunned Memphis at the Liberty Bowl, 45-20, to crack the AP rankings for the first time in 11 years. Plus, as one of two remaining West Division teams without a conference loss, the academy is firmly in the hunt for a conference title and a spot in a Big Six bowl game. SMU would like to play spoiler this month, especially in remaining games with Navy and Memphis. The Ponies last won in Week 2, but rookie head coach Chad Morris has his kids building toward 2016 and beyond.

    Why SMU Will Win

    The Midshipmen are disciplined, but they’re also human. And it’ll be difficult getting back up for one-win SMU the week after a historically important victory over undefeated Memphis. Plus, the Mustangs are coming off an impressive offensive showing, becoming the first team all year to hang 40 on Temple. Morris’ trio of QB Matt Davis, RB Xavier Jones and WR Courtland Sutton is improving each week.

    Why Navy Will Win

    The ground game is relentless. The D is underrated. The Midshipmen will hammer an overmatched SMU defense, which yields 5.8 yards per carry, with a mix of record-setting QB Keenan Reynolds and rugged FB Chris Swain, among others. Navy pounded a Top 25 run defense for 374 yards and five touchdowns a week ago, troubling results for a Mustang front seven that’s been on its heels for much of the year.

    Player Who Matters

    Swain and Reynolds made most of the headlines last week, but the Navy defense was instrumental in the rout, holding Memphis and QB Paxton Lynch well below their season norms. And while no individual hung up monster numbers, linemen Bernard Sarra, Amos Mason and Will Anthony played outstanding at the point of attack. They’ll need to be active again to keep Davis from creating problems with his dual-threat skill set.

    What’s Going To Happen?

    Forgive Navy if it’s a little slow out of the tunnel on Saturday afternoon. Last weekend was a really big deal for the academy. However, it won’t take long for the Midshipmen to get back on track behind Reynolds and Swain. SMU is ill-equipped to handle a triple-option system that can wear down opponents with workmanlike discipline. Davis will pop some plays, but it won’t be nearly enough to hang with the surging Midshipmen.

    Navy vs. SMU Prediction

    Final Score: Navy 45, SMU 21, Line: Navy -21.5, o/u: 64.5
    Must See Rating: 5: Spectre … 1: The 33 … 2

    MORE: College Football Bowl Projections After Week 10

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