College Football Betting: Week 11 Best Picks and Advice

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    November 27, 2023

    Ben Wittenstein: Michigan -4.5 over Penn State.

    Michigan is the best team in the country in my opinion, and despite a soft schedule, they shouldn’t struggle against Penn State. Michigan’s defense has yet to give up a first and goal this season! Even with a soft schedule that’s REALLY impressive.

    The Maize and Blue have the better defense, the better offense, the better lines and better coaching. Don’t get me started on James Franklin’s record in big games against top-10 opponents. All the signs point toward a comfortable Michigan win, so I’ll be following that.

    Nate Jacobson: UCF +2.5 over Oklahoma State.

    This is a terrific spot to fade Oklahoma State off a huge win over Oklahoma last week. The victory against their in-state rival was even sweeter than normal because Oklahoma is leaving for the SEC next season and they won’t play each other for the foreseeable future after having that game be played every year since 1910. Now the Cowboys make an unfamiliar trip to Orlando to face Big 12 newcomer UCF.

    The Knights have had a disappointing first year in the new conference, but are undervalued because QB John Rhys Plumlee missed the a large chunk of the season. Plumlee is now healthy and he almost led UCF to a win at Oklahoma three weeks ago. If you haven’t bet this yet, I would be patient and see if UCF +3 appears before kickoff. Regardless, I expect a natural letdown from Oklahoma State on Saturday after the emotional high last week.

    Colby Marchio: UNLV – 4.5 over Wyoming.

    Wyoming stormed the field after taking down Colorado State in Laramie last Friday. You know what that means… fade the Cowboys!

    UNLV is the play on Friday night. The Rebels are covering machines with an 8-1 mark against the spread this season. They are amazing on the ground and rank 16th in scoring offense. Wyoming cannot defend the run, so the Rebels should move the ball with ease. Also the Cowboys are not explosive offensively.

    BW: Missouri +2 over Tennessee.

    The Tigers looked good last week against Georgia on the road. If not for a fourth quarter interception by a Georgia offensive lineman, we might be talking about a Mizzou win.

    Now back at home, the Tigers take on an inconsistent Joe Milton-led offense. Milton has looked decent in the last three weeks. But if you know anything about inconsistent players, you can count on them to be bad after looking good. I trust Mizzou’s offense to not only run with Tennessee, but outscore them and avenge a massive 66-24 loss to the Vols last year.

    NJ: Georgia -10.5 over Ole Miss.

    Georgia only beating Mizzou by nine points last week creates an opportunity to take Georgia at discount in Athens. I also don’t believe in Ole Miss, especially against a well-coached team.

    Last week Ole Miss had a lot of money come against them and they only closed -3 at home against Texas A&M. The Aggies were missing some key players, but had multiple opportunities to win the game or at least send if to overtime if they didn’t miss a field goal at the end of regulation. The Rebels have proved me wrong a lot this season with their 8-1 record, but I believe they’ll be non-competitive against one of the best teams in the country.

    CM: Georgia Tech +14.5 over Clemson.

    Last week, Clemson had one of the biggest wins of the season taking down Notre Dame. This week Georgia Tech comes in as a 14.5-point underdog and I love the Yellow Jackets this week.

    They have been rolling by taking down North Carolina and Virginia over the past two weeks. I think this is a letdown spot for Clemson after catching all that heat prior to the Notre Dame game. They are not good. I will continue to fade Dabo.

    BW: Indiana ML +210 over Illinois.

    The Hoosiers are on a mission. They still have a shot to reach the coveted six wins and now have some kind of consistency at the QB position. The IU defense is serviceable and the team as a whole seems not to have wavered after an inconsistent start to the season.

    On the Illinois side, they have yet to string together two straight wins and they won at Minnesota last week. With IU heading into this one needing a win, I’ll take the ultra-motivated squad to pull off the upset.

    NJ: Texas Tech ML +160 over Kansas.

    I tried to fade Kansas last week after their fans stormed the field after a Week 9 win over Oklahoma. The Jayhawks got out to an early lead and held on against Iowa State, but I’m going to try to bet against Kansas one more time now that they are a favorite.

    I also believe Texas Tech is better than their 4-5 record. I had high hopes for the Red Raiders this season, but they lost several close games early on and starting QB Tyler Shough suffered a broken leg in Week 4. Then backup QB Behren Morton sustained an injury and missed some time. Now Morton is back and was efficient last Thursday in a win over TCU. With a capable QB healthy and Kansas being inflated off a couple recent wins, I like the price on the Red Raiders to go into Lawrence and keep their hopes of bowl eligibility alive.

    CM: UCF ML +115 over Oklahoma State.

    I do not care how hot Oklahoma State has been over the past few weeks. I will be happily riding with the UCF Knights.

    UCF gave Oklahoma their biggest issues prior to Oklahoma State beating them last week. The Knights are a scrappy bunch with a solid offensive unit. They are one of the best third down teams in the country, converting almost 50 percent. Meanwhile, Oklahoma State is allowing teams to convert 42 percent of the time on third down. I think the Knights are a great play to win outright at home this weekend.

    Ben, Nate and Colby will discuss all of their college football and NFL bets on Stadium Bets. Check out the new show across Stadium’s OTT and OTA channels. Also subscribe on Spotify and Apple for podcast episodes and follow Stadium Bets on Twitter for more sports betting content.


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