Brett McMurphy’s College Football Bowl Projections: Nov. 3

    Projecting matchups in a bowl game carousel.

    November 3, 2020

    Instead of a head coaching carousel in college football this year, it looks like we’ll have a bowl game carousel instead.

    As of Tuesday morning, there officially have been six bowl cancelations: Bahamas, Fenway, Hawaii, Holiday, Redbox and Quick Lane. Sources told Stadium they also expect the Las Vegas Bowl to be canceled and it is “iffy” that the Los Angeles Bowl will debut this season.

    What else? Oh yeah, the Montgomery Bowl was created for this season only – to replace the Fenway Bowl, which has never been played – and the New Mexico Bowl won’t be played in New Mexico. Got that straight? Me neither. But if you’ve ever wanted to host a bowl game – and don’t live in New Mexico – contact ESPN to inquire about hosting this year’s New Mexico Bowl.

    With those bowl additions and subtractions, we will plod along with this week’s bowl projections. We are not including the Las Vegas Bowl until an official announcement is made as to whether the game will be played (it won’t be).

    College Football Playoff

    ChampionshipJan. 10 (CFP semifinal winners)
    Projection: Alabama vs. Ohio State

    Semifinals
    Sugar BowlJan. 1 (CFP semifinal)
    Projection: Alabama (CFP No. 1) vs. Oregon (CFP No. 4)

    Rose BowlJan. 1 (CFP semifinal)
    Projection: Ohio State (CFP No. 2) vs. Clemson (CFP No. 3)

    New Year’s 6 Bowls

    Orange BowlJan. 2 (ACC vs. SEC/Big Ten)
    Projection: Notre Dame vs. Texas A&M

    Fiesta BowlJan. 2 (at-large vs. at-large)
    Projection: USC vs. Wisconsin

    Peach BowlJan. 1 (at-large vs. at-large)
    Projection: Georgia vs. Cincinnati*

    Cotton BowlDec. 30 (at-large vs. at-large)
    Projection: Oklahoma State vs. Florida

    Other Bowls

    Alamo Bowl (Big 12 vs. Pac-12)
    Projection: Iowa State vs. Arizona State

    Arizona Bowl (MAC vs. Mountain West)
    Projection: Toledo vs. San Diego State

    Armed Forces Bowl (AAC vs. Big 12)
    Projection: Houston vs. TCU

    Birmingham Bowl (AAC vs. SEC)
    Projection: UCF vs. Ole Miss

    Boca Raton Bowl (AAC vs. C-USA/BYU/Liberty/MAC)
    Projection: Memphis vs. FAU

    Camellia Bowl (MAC vs. Sun Belt)
    Projection: Buffalo vs. Troy

    Cheez-It Bowl (ACC vs. Big 12)
    Projection: Miami vs. Oklahoma

    Citrus Bowl (Big Ten vs. SEC)
    Projection: Indiana vs. Auburn

    Cure Bowl (C-USA vs. Sun Belt)
    Projection: Louisiana Tech vs. South Alabama

    Duke’s Mayo Bowl (ACC vs. Big Ten)
    Projection: North Carolina vs. Penn State

    First Responder Bowl (ACC vs. AAC)
    Projection: Pitt vs. Tulsa

    Frisco Bowl (AAC vs. C-USA)
    Projection: SMU vs. UTSA

    Gasparilla Bowl (ACC vs. SEC)
    Projection: Virginia vs. Missouri

    Gator Bowl (ACC vs. SEC)
    Projection: Virginia Tech vs. South Carolina

    Guaranteed Rate Bowl (Big Ten vs. Big 12)
    Projection: Michigan vs. West Virginia

    Idaho Potato Bowl (Mountain West vs. BYU/Liberty/MAC)
    Projection: Nevada vs. BYU

    Independence Bowl (Army vs. Pac-12)
    Projection: Army vs. Washington

    LendingTree Bowl (MAC/C-USA vs. Sun Belt)
    Projection: Central Michigan vs. Appalachian State

    Liberty Bowl (Big 12 vs. SEC)
    Projection: Texas vs. Arkansas

    Los Angeles Bowl (Pac-12 vs. Mountain West)
    Projection: Utah vs. Boise State

    Military Bowl (ACC vs. AAC)
    Projection: Wake Forest vs. Navy

    **Montgomery Bowl (Group of Five, Liberty or BYU)
    Projection: Liberty vs. UAB

    Music City Bowl (Big Ten vs. SEC)
    Projection: Michigan vs. Tennessee

    Myrtle Beach Bowl (C-USA vs. Sun Belt)
    Projection: Marshall vs. Coastal Carolina

    New Mexico Bowl (Mountain West vs. C-USA/BYU/Liberty/MAC)
    Projection: San Jose State vs. Ball State

    New Orleans Bowl (C-USA vs. Sun Belt)
    Projection: Charlotte vs. Louisiana

    Outback Bowl (Big Ten vs. SEC)
    Projection: Northwestern vs. Kentucky

    Pinstripe Bowl (ACC vs. Big Ten)
    Projection: NC State vs. Purdue

    Sun Bowl (ACC vs. Pac-12)
    Projection: Boston College vs. Cal

    Texas Bowl (Big 12 vs. SEC)
    Projection: Kansas State vs. LSU

    Bowls that have been canceled this year:
    • Bahamas Bowl
    • Fenway Bowl
    • Hawaii Bowl
    • Holiday Bowl
    • Redbox Bowl
    • Quick Lane Bowl


    Teams in bold have already officially accepted bid.

    *The highest rated champion from the Group of Five conferences (American, Conference USA, Mid-American, Mountain West and Sun Belt) will be selected to play in either the Cotton, Fiesta or Peach Bowl.

    **Replacing Fenway Bowl for this season only.

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