Brett McMurphy’s College Football Bowl Projections: Dec. 1

    Will Liberty go bowling?

    December 1, 2020

    With bowl season less than a month away, we are now down to 34 bowls.

    Stadium reported on Monday that the Sun Bowl won’t be played this year, while the Pinstripe Bowl announced it also wouldn’t be played. Both the Pac-12 and ACC have each lost four bowl tie-ins, and sources told Stadium they are afraid there could be more cancellations.

    However, even with nearly three dozen bowls remaining, there may not be one available for No. 25 Liberty (9-1), sources said.

    The reason is that independent Liberty doesn’t have a guaranteed bowl affiliation and this season there are no win requirements to become bowl eligible. Bowls are expected to fill their games with teams from their designated conference affiliation, a source said. If that happens, Liberty — even if it finishes nationally ranked and 10-1 — would not receive a bowl bid.

    Onto my bowl projections entering Tuesday’s second release of the College Football Playoff rankings:

    College Football Playoff

    Championship – Jan. 10 (CFP semifinal winners)
    Projection: Alabama vs. Ohio State

    Semifinals
    Sugar Bowl – Jan. 1 (CFP semifinal)
    Projection: Alabama (No. 1 seed) vs. Texas A&M (No. 4 seed)

    Rose Bowl – Jan. 1 (CFP semifinal)
    Projection: Clemson (No. 2 seed) vs. Ohio State (No. 3 seed)

    New Year’s 6 Bowls

    Orange Bowl – Jan. 2 (ACC vs. SEC/Big Ten)
    Projection: Notre Dame vs. Florida

    Fiesta Bowl – Jan. 2 (at-large vs. at-large)
    Projection: USC vs. Wisconsin

    Peach Bowl – Jan. 1 (at-large vs. at-large)
    Projection: Georgia vs. Cincinnati*

    Cotton Bowl – Dec. 30 (at-large vs. at-large)
    Projection: Iowa State vs. Miami

    Other Bowls

    Gator BowlJan. 2 (ACC vs. SEC)
    Projection: North Carolina vs. Missouri

    Outback BowlJan. 2 (Big Ten vs. SEC)
    Projection: Indiana vs. Ole Miss

    Birmingham BowlJan. 1 (AAC vs. SEC)
    Projection: Tulsa vs. Tennessee

    Citrus BowlJan. 1 (Big Ten vs. SEC)
    Projection: Northwestern vs. Auburn

    Arizona BowlDec. 31 (MAC vs. Mountain West)
    Projection: Western Michigan vs. Fresno State

    Armed Forces BowlDec. 31 (AAC vs. Big 12)
    Projection: Houston vs. TCU

    Liberty BowlDec. 31 (Big 12 vs. SEC)
    Projection: West Virginia vs. LSU

    Texas BowlDec. 31 (Big 12 vs. SEC)
    Projection: Texas vs. Arkansas

    Duke’s Mayo BowlDec. 30 (ACC vs. Big Ten)
    Projection: Boston College vs. Maryland

    Los Angeles BowlDec. 30 (Pac-12 vs. Mountain West)
    Projection: Oregon vs. Boise State

    Music City BowlDec. 30 (Big Ten vs. SEC)
    Projection: Iowa vs. Mississippi State

    Alamo BowlDec. 29 (Big 12 vs. Pac-12)
    Projection: Oklahoma vs. Washington

    Cheez-It BowlDec. 29 (ACC vs. Big 12)
    Projection: NC State vs. Oklahoma State

    Military BowlDec. 28 (ACC vs. AAC)
    Projection: Wake Forest vs. Navy

    Cure BowlDec. 26 (C-USA vs. Sun Belt)
    Projection: Marshall vs. Coastal Carolina

    First Responder BowlDec. 26 (ACC vs. AAC)
    Projection: Virginia Tech vs. UCF

    Gasparilla BowlDec. 26 (ACC vs. SEC)
    Projection: Pitt vs. Kentucky

    Guaranteed Rate BowlDec. 26 (Big Ten vs. Big 12)
    Projection: Minnesota vs. Kansas State

    Independence BowlDec. 26 (Army vs. Pac-12)
    Projection: Army vs. Colorado

    LendingTree BowlDec. 26 (MAC/C-USA vs. Sun Belt)
    Projection: Central Michigan vs. Georgia State

    Camellia BowlDec. 25 (MAC vs. Sun Belt)
    Projection: Buffalo vs. Louisiana

    New Mexico BowlDec. 24 (Mountain West vs. C-USA/BYU/MAC)
    Projection: San Jose State vs. BYU

    **Montgomery BowlDec. 23 (Group of 5)
    Projection: Appalachian State vs. UAB

    New Orleans BowlDec. 23 (C-USA vs. Sun Belt)
    Projection: Louisiana Tech vs. Troy

    Boca Raton BowlDec. 22 (AAC vs. C-USA/BYU/MAC)
    Projection: Memphis vs. FAU

    Idaho Potato BowlDec. 22 (Mountain West vs. BYU/MAC)
    Projection: Nevada vs. Kent State

    Myrtle Beach BowlDec. 21 (C-USA vs. Sun Belt)
    Projection: Western Kentucky vs. Georgia Southern

    Frisco BowlDec. 19 (AAC vs. C-USA)
    Projection: SMU vs. UTSA

    Bowls that have been canceled this year:
    •Bahamas Bowl
    •Fenway Bowl
    •Hawaii Bowl
    •Holiday Bowl
    •Las Vegas Bowl (Stadium reported it won’t be played, but no official announcement)
    •Redbox Bowl
    •Pinstripe Bowl
    •Quick Lane Bowl
    •Sun Bowl (Stadium reported it won’t be played, but no official announcement)


    Teams in bold have already officially accepted bid.

    *The highest rated champion from the Group of Five conferences (American, Conference USA, Mid-American, Mountain West and Sun Belt) will be selected to play in either the Cotton, Fiesta or Peach Bowl.

    **Replacing Fenway Bowl for this season only.

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